The Alabama Weather Prediction Outlook is an element our Team puts together based off of NWS forecasts, Hazardous Weather Outlooks and Storm Prediction Outlooks. We aim to update our Outlook at least once a week but tend to do it more frequently when inclement weather is imminent or occurring.
A more thorough look at what each section of what the Outlook means can be found from this section down. Click on the button above the value to be taken to the specific section for that value (ie, clicking the Hazard button will take you to the section that explains what is placed in Hazards and what it means.)
The following values can be used in Hazards:
- Severe Thunderstorm
- Flash Flood
- Winter Weather
The specific time we expect the potential hazard to occur. The timing will get more specific as confidence increases and as we get closer to an event. Something such as MON. AM or FRI PM will be used. If it is expected into the overnight hours then FRI PM-SAT AM will be used.
This is basically how certain or uncertain we are about the hazard to occur. We will use the following values for confidence: VERY LOW, LOW, MEDIUM, HIGH, and VERY HIGH. Confidence generally becomes more certain as we get closer to an event and as model data gets more consistent. It is important to note that forecasting can be very challenging and sometimes even hours before an event there can be low confidence in a hazard occurring.
The following values can be used: